Research

Journal Articles (most recent listed first)

  1. Wendong Zhang, Wei Zhang, and Chad Hart. "Are Agricultural Professionals' Farmland Value and Crop Price Forecasts Consistent?" Journal of the ASFMRA 81(2018):1-16.
  2. Tonya Haigh, Vikram Koundinya, Chad Hart, Jenna Klink, Maria Lemos, Amber Saylor Mase, Linda Prokopy, Ajay Singh, Dennis Todey, and Melissa Widhalm. "Provision of Climate Services for Agriculture: Public and Private Pathways to Farm Decision-making." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 99(2018):1781-1790.
  3. Minghao Li, Wendong Zhang, and Chad Hart. "What Have We Learned from China's Past Trade Retaliation Strategies?" Choices 33(2018):individual article.
  4. Alejandro Plastina and Chad Hart. "Is ARC-CO Acting as a Safety Net Program? Evidence from Iowa." Choices 33(2018):individual article.
  5. Jinzhi Xiao, Chad Hart, and Sergio H. Lence. "USDA Forecasts of Crop Ending Stocks: How Well Have They Performed?" Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 39(2017):220-241.
  6. Yuba R. Kandel, Daren S. Mueller, Chad Hart, Nathan R. C. Bestor, Carl A. Bradley, Keith A. Ames, Loren J. Giesler, and Kiersten A. Wise. "Analyses of Yield and Economic Response from Foliar Fungicide and Insecticide Applications to Soybean in the North Central United States." Plant Health Progress 17(2016):232-238.
  7. Adam J. Sisson, Yuba R. Kandel, Chad Hart, Amy Asmus, Stith N. Wiggs, and Daren S. Mueller. "Effect of Foliar Fungicide and Insecticide on Hail-Damaged Soybean." Plant Health Progress 17(2016):141-148.
  8. Chad Hart, Sergio H. Lence, Dermot J. Hayes, and Na Jin. "Price Mean Reversion, Seasonality, and Options Markets." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 98(2016):707-725.
  9. Adam J. Sisson, Yuba R. Kandel, Alison E. Robertson, Chad Hart, Amy Asmus, Stith N. Wiggs, and Daren S. Mueller. "Effect of Foliar Fungicides Use on Hail-Damaged Corn." Plant Health Progress 17(2016):6-12.
  10. Linda S. Prokopy, Chad Hart, Raymond Massey, Melissa Widhalm, Jenna Klink, Jeffrey Andresen, James Angel, Thomas Blewett, Otto C. Doering, Roger Elmore, Benjamin M. Gramig, Patrick Guinan, Beth L. Hall, Atul Jain, Cody L. Knutson, Maria C. Lemos, Lois W. Morton, Dev Niyogi, Rebecca Power, Martha D. Shulski, Carol X. Song, Eugene S. Takle, and Dennis Todey. "Using a Team Survey to Improve Team Communication for Enhanced Delivery of Agro-Climate Decision Support Tools." Agricultural Systems 138(2015):31-37.
  11. Linda S. Prokopy, J. Stuart Carlton, J. Gordon Arbuckle Jr., Tonya Haigh, Maria C. Lemos, Amber S. Mase, Nicholas Babin, Mike Dunn, Jeff Andresen, Jim Angel, Chad Hart, and Rebecca Power. "Extension's Role in Disseminating Information about Climate Change to Agricultural Stakeholders in the United States." Climatic Change 130(2015):261-272.
  12. Sergio H. Lence, Herve G. Ott, and Chad Hart. "Long-term Futures Curves and Seasonal Structures of Wheat in the European Union and the United States." The Journal of Futures Markets 33(2013):1118-1142.
  13. William M. Edwards and Chad Hart. "Sharing Financial Risk through Flexible Farm Lease Agreements." Journal of the ASFMRA 76(2013):154-166.
  14. Linda S. Prokopy, Tonya Haigh, Amber S. Mase, Jim Angel, Chad Hart, Cody Knutson, Maria C. Lemos, Yun-Jia Lo, Jean McGuire, Lois W. Morton, Jennifer Perron, Dennis Todey, and Melissa Widhalm. "Agricultural Advisors: A Receptive Audience for Weather and Climate Information?" Weather, Climate, and Society 5(2013):162-167.
  15. Mahdi Al-Kaisi, Roger Elmore, Jose Guzman, Mark Hanna, Chad Hart, Matthew Helmers, Erin Hodgson, Andrew Lenssen, Antonio Mallarino, Alison Robertson, and John Sawyer. "Drought Impact on Crop Production and the Soil Environment: 2012 Experiences from Iowa." Journal of Soil and Water Conservation 68(2013):19A-24A (feature article).
  16. Ariel Singerman, Chad Hart, and Sergio H. Lence. "Revenue Protection for Organic Producers: Too Much or Too Little." Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 37(2012):415-434.
  17. William Edwards and Chad Hart. "Introduction to the US Livestock Revenue Insurance System." Farm Policy Journal 9(2012):47-51 (invited article).
  18. Na Jin, Sergio Lence, Chad Hart, and Dermot Hayes. "The Long-Term Structure of Commodity Futures." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 94(2012):718-735.
  19. Tun-Hsiang Yu, Chad Hart, and Wen You. "Evaluating Food-Fuel Trade-Offs Via Market Choice: The Case of Iowa Corn Producers." Green: The International Journal of Sustainable Energy Conversion and Storage 1(2011):123-126.
  20. Silvia Secchi, Lyubov Kurkalova, Philip W. Gassman, and Chad Hart. "Land Use Change in a Biofuels Hotspot: The Case of Iowa, USA." Biomass and Bioenergy 35(2011):2391-2400.
  21. Nick D. Paulson, Chad Hart, and Dermot J. Hayes. "A Spatial Bayesian Approach to Weather Derivatives." Agricultural Finance Review 70(2010):79-96.
  22. Hongli Feng and Chad Hart. "Willingness to Pay for Surplus Sugar in the United States." Contemporary Economic Policy 28(2010):429-437.
  23. Dermot J. Hayes, Bruce A. Babcock, Jacinto F. Fabiosa, Simla Tokgoz, Amani Elobeid, Tun-Hsiang Yu, Fengxia Dong, Chad Hart, Edward Chavez, Suwen Pan, Miguel Carriquiry, and Jerome Dumortier. "Biofuels: Potential Production Capacity, Effects on Grain and Livestock Sectors, and Implications for Food Prices and Consumers." Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 41(2009):465-491.
  24. Simla Tokgoz, Amani Elobeid, Jacinto F. Fabiosa, Dermot J. Hayes, Bruce A. Babcock, Tun-Hsiang Yu, Fengxia Dong, and Chad Hart. "Bottlenecks, Drought, and Oil Price Spikes: Impact on U.S. Ethanol and Agricultural Sectors." Review of Agricultural Economics 30(2008):604-622.
  25. Nick D. Paulson, Bruce A. Babcock, Chad Hart, and Dermot J. Hayes. "An Insurance Approach to Risk Management in the Ethanol Industry." Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 37(2008):51-62.
  26. Miguel Carriquiry, Bruce A. Babcock, and Chad Hart. "Using a Farmer's Beta for Improved Estimation of Expected Yields." Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 33(2008):52-68.
  27. Amani Elobeid and Chad Hart. "Ethanol Expansion in the Food versus Fuel Debate: How Will Developing Countries Fare?" Journal of Agricultural and Food Industrial Organization 5(2007): Article 6.
  28. Amani Elobeid, Simla Tokgoz, and Chad Hart. "The Ethanol Outlook for Brazil and the United States and Implications for Livestock." International Sugar Journal 109(2007):174-177 (invited article).
  29. Amani Elobeid, Simla Tokgoz, Dermot J. Hayes, Bruce A. Babcock, and Chad Hart. "The Long-Run Impact of Corn-Based Ethanol on the Grain, Oilseed, and Livestock Sectors: A Preliminary Assessment." AgBioForum 10(2007):11-18.
  30. Patrick Westhoff, Scott Brown, and Chad Hart. "When Point Estimates Miss the Point: Stochastic Modeling of WTO Restrictions." Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development 2(2006):87-107.
  31. Chad Hart, Dermot J. Hayes, and Bruce A. Babcock. "Insuring Eggs in Baskets: Should the Government Insure Individual Risks?" Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 54(2006):121-137.
  32. Chad Hart. "Ethanol: Policies, Production, and Profitability in USA." International Sugar Journal 106(2004):597-599 (invited article).
  33. Bruce A. Babcock, Chad Hart, and Dermot J. Hayes. "Actuarial Fairness of Crop Insurance Rates with Constant Rate Relativities." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 86(2004):563-575.
  34. Chad Hart and Sergio H. Lence. "Financial Constraints and Farm Investment: A Bayesian Examination." Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 22(2004):51-63.
  35. Chad Hart and Bruce A. Babcock. "U.S. Farm Policy and the WTO: How Do They Match Up?" The Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade Policy 3(2002):119-139.
  36. Chad Hart, Bruce A. Babcock, and Dermot J. Hayes. "Livestock Revenue Insurance." The Journal of Futures Markets 21(2001):553-580.
  37. Sergio H. Lence and Chad Hart. "Index Models and Land Allocation Reconsidered." Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 45(1997):267-284.

Research Reports (most recent listed first)

  1. (with Edward J. Balistreri, Dermot J. Hayes, Minghao Li, Lee Schulz, David A. Swenson, Wendong Zhang, and John M. Crespi). "The Impact of the 2018 Trade Disruptions on the Iowa Economy." Policy Brief 18-PB 25. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. September 2018.
  2. (with Minghao Li and Wendong Zhang). "What Can We Learn about U.S.-China Trade Disputes from China's Past Trade Retaliations?" Policy Brief 18-PB 22. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. March 2018.
  3. (with Frayne Olson). "Analysis of Grain Basis Behavior During Transportation Disruptions and Development of Weekly Grain Basis Indicators for the USDA Grain Transportation Report." Staff Report 17-SR 111. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. May 2017.
  4. (with Daniel Otto and Michael Hudak). "Economic Impacts of the Ethanol Industry." Community Vitality Center, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. May 2012.
  5. (with Ariel Singerman and Sergio Lence). "Price Analysis, Risk Assessment, and Insurance for Organic Crops." Policy Brief 11-PB 6. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. August 2011.
  6. (with Ariel Singerman and Sergio Lence). "Revenue Protection for Organic Producers: Too Much or Too Little." Working Paper No. 11012. Department of Economics, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. June 2011.
  7. (with Ariel Singerman and Sergio Lence). "Demand for Crop Insurance by Organic Corn and Soybean Farmers in Three Major Producing States." Working Paper No. 10007. Department of Economics, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. May 2010.
  8. (with Tun-Hsiang Yu). "The 2007/08 Iowa Grain and Biofuel Flow Study: A Survey Report." Staff Report 09-SR 103. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. August 2009.
  9. (with Dermot J. Hayes, Bruce A. Babcock, Jacinto F. Fabiosa, Simla Tokgoz, Amani Elobeid, Tun-Hsiang Yu, Fengxia Dong, Edward Chavez, Suwen Pan, Miguel Carriquiry, and Jerome Dumortier). "Biofuels: Potential Production Capacity, Effects on Grain and Livestock Sectors, and Implications for Food Prices and Consumers." Working Paper 09-WP 487. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. March 2009.
  10. (with Tun-Hsiang Yu). "The 2006/07 Iowa Grain and Biofuel Flow Study: A Survey Report." Staff Report 08-SR 102. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. October 2008.
  11. (with Simla Tokgoz, Amani Elobeid, Jacinto F. Fabiosa, Dermot J. Hayes, Bruce A. Babcock, Tun-Hsiang Yu, Fengxia Dong, and John C. Beghin). "Emerging Biofuels: Outlook of Effects on U.S. Grain, Oilseed, and Livestock Markets." Staff Report 07-SR 101. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. May 2007.
  12. (with Amani Elobeid, Simla Tokgoz, Dermot J. Hayes, and Bruce A. Babcock). "The Long-Run Impact of Corn-Based Ethanol on the Grain, Oilseed, and Livestock Sectors: A Preliminary Assessment." Briefing Paper 06-BP 49. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. November 2006.
  13. (with Patrick Westhoff and Scott Brown). "When Point Estimates Miss the Point: Stochastic Modeling of WTO Restrictions." FAPRI Policy Working Paper #01-05. Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute, Columbia, Missouri. December 2005.
  14. (with Bruce A. Babcock). "How Much 'Safety' Is Available under the U.S. Proposal to the WTO?" Briefing Paper 05-BP 48. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. November 2005.
  15. (with Bruce A. Babcock). "Influence of the Premium Subsidy on Farmers' Crop Insurance Coverage Decisions." Working Paper 05-WP 393. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. April 2005.
  16. (with Miguel Carriquiry and Bruce A. Babcock). "Using a Farmer's Beta for Improved Estimation of Actual Production History (APH) Yields." Working Paper 05-WP 387. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. March 2005.
  17. "Risk Management Instruments for Water Reallocations." Briefing Paper 05-BP 46. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. February 2005.
  18. (with Bruce A. Babcock). "ARPA Subsidies, Unit Choice, and Reform of the U.S. Crop Insurance Program." Briefing Paper 05-BP 45. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. February 2005.
  19. (with Bruce A. Babcock). "Loan Deficiency Payments versus Countercyclical Payments: Do We Need Both for a Price Safety Net?" Briefing Paper 05-BP 44. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. February 2005.
  20. (with John C. Beghin)."Rethinking Agricultural Domestic Support under the World Trade Organization." Briefing Paper 04-BP 43. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. November 2004.
  21. (with Julian Binfield, Trevor Donnellan, Kevin Hanrahan, and Patrick Westhoff). "CAP Reform and the WTO: Potential Impacts on EU Agriculture." FAPRI-UMC Report #08-04. Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute, Columbia, Missouri. July 2004.
  22. (with Nick D. Paulson, Bruce A. Babcock, and Dermot J. Hayes). "Insuring Uncertainty in Value-Added Agriculture: Ethanol Production." Working Paper 04-WP 360. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. April 2004.
  23. (with FAPRI Staff). "Analysis of the 2003 CAP Reform Agreement." FAPRI Staff Report 2-03. Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute, Columbia, Missouri. September 2003.
  24. (with Dermot J. Hayes and Bruce A. Babcock). "Insuring Eggs in Baskets." Working Paper 03-WP 339. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. July 2003.
  25. (with FAPRI Staff). "An Analysis of the Proposed Doha Round Modalities." Staff Report 03-SR 98. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. June 2003.
  26. (with Bruce A. Babcock and Dermot J. Hayes). "Crop Insurance Rates and the Laws of Probability." Working Paper 02-WP 298. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. April 2002.
  27. (with Bruce A. Babcock)."Construction of a 'Green Box' Countercyclical Program." Briefing Paper 01-BP 36. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. October 2001.
  28. (with Bruce A. Babcock)."Effects of Adding a Target Revenue Program and Soybean Fixed Decoupled Payments to Current Farm Programs." Briefing Paper 01-BP 35. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. September 2001.
  29. (with Bruce A. Babcock)."Implications of the WTO on the Redesign of US Farm Policy." Briefing Paper 01-BP 32. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. May 2001.
  30. (with Bruce A. Babcock). "Rankings of Risk Management Strategies Combining Crop Insurance Products and Marketing Positions." Working Paper 01-WP 267. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. February 2001.
  31. (with Bruce A. Babcock). "Time for a New Farmer-Owned Reserve?" Briefing Paper 00-BP31. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. August 2000.
  32. (with Bruce A. Babcock, Gary Adams, and Pat Westhoff). "Farm-level Analysis of Risk Management Proposals." Working Paper 00-WP238. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. February 2000.
  33. (with Bruce A. Babcock, Gary Adams, and Pat Westhoff). "Analysis of Risk Management Proposals." FAPRI Policy Working Paper #01-00.  February 2000.
  34. (with Bruce A. Babcock). "Counter-Cyclical Agricultural Program Payments: Is It Time to Look at Revenue?" Briefing Paper 99-BP28. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. December 1999.
  35. (with Gary Adams, Bruce A. Babcock, and Pat Westhoff). "Net Farm Income Impacts of Alternative Risk Management Bills." FAPRI Policy Working Paper #04-99. Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute at the University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, and the Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. October 1999.
  36. (with Gary Adams, Bruce A. Babcock, and Pat Westhoff). "Analysis of the Net Farm Income Impact of Alternative Risk Management Bills." FAPRI Policy Working Paper #02-99. Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute at the University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, and the Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. July 1999.
  37. "Eligibility and Payment Requirements of the Disaster Assistance Package." A World Wide Web document. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. January 1999.
  38. (with Darnell B. Smith). "The FAPRI Baseline Model of the Federal Crop Insurance Program." Technical Report 98-TR40. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. July 1998.
  39. (with Darnell B. Smith). "Computing Average Per Acre Indemnity Payments for Corn in Iowa." Working Paper 96-WP163. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. August 1996.
  40. (with Darnell B. Smith). "Estimating the Costs of MPCI under the 1994 Crop Insurance Reform Act." Working Paper 96-WP158. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. March 1996.
  41. (with Feng Xu, Darnell B. Smith, and William H. Meyers). "Estimating the Costs of Revenue Assurance." Working Paper 95-WP140. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. September 1995.
  42. (with John R. Kruse). "The FAPRI U.S. Crops Model: Review and Suggestions." Working Paper 94-WP124. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. October 1994.
  43. (with Darnell B. Smith). "Agriculture, Conservation, and the Environment: A Unified Policy." Briefing Paper 94-BP3. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State
    University, Ames, Iowa. May 1994.
  44. (with Michael D. Helmar, Dermot J. Hayes, and William H. Meyers). "CAP Reform Studies: A Comparison." GATT Research Paper 94-GATT18. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. April 1994.
  45. (with Darnell B. Smith). "The Safety Net of Farming: An Introduction and Literature Review of Agricultural Insurance and Other Stabilization Policies and Proposals." Working Paper 94-WP120. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. March 1994.
  46. (with Darnell B. Smith and William H. Meyers). "Alternative Policy Options to Address Agricultural Instability." Briefing Paper 94-BP2. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa. March 1994.